Will MrBeast reach 520 million YouTube subscribers before December 31, 2026?
Market closes Dec 28, 2026 · Dec 28, 2026
Volume
9.1K HTX
Participants
467
Liquidity
4.7K HTX
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Probability History
YES probability history from 70% to 71% over 1W.
About This Market
MrBeast crossed 500 million YouTube subscribers in June 2026 and was near 510–511 million as of late July / early August 2026. Resolves on the public subscriber count displayed on the official MrBeast YouTube channel.
Culture Intelligence™ Outlook
Culture Intelligence™ is HTX’s proprietary intelligence platform designed to transform cultural signals into real-time market insights.
Market Probability
71%
Culture Intelligence
74%
Preliminary Outlook
Recent growth from 500M to ~510M supports a path to 520M before year-end if current velocity continues.
- Subscriber velocity
- Upload cadence
- Global reach
Market Rules
Market Question
Will MrBeast reach 520 million YouTube subscribers before December 31, 2026?
Category
Creators
Information as of
Aug 6, 2026
Closing Date
Dec 28, 2026
Resolution Date
Jan 2, 2027
Resolution Source
Official YouTube channel metric
Resolution Criteria
YES if the public subscriber count on youtube.com/@MrBeast is at or above 520,000,000 on any date on or before Dec 31, 2026.
What counts as YES
Public subscriber count ≥ 520M by Dec 31, 2026.
What counts as NO
Public subscriber count remains below 520M through Dec 31, 2026.
Recent Activity
- Market opened
- Public milestone updated: 500M subscriber mark referenced
- Culture Intelligence outlook added
- Market probability moved from 68% to 71%
Your Position
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